How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? 83%

Q: What are the current odds for "AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?"?

As of June 24, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 83%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	83.0%	17.0%	$98K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 1% YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — 2% YES
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — 0% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?”?

As of June 23, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 83.0%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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