How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Fed rate hike in 2026? 94.1% — Likely Yes

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	94.1%	5.9%	$9.8M	Trade on Polymarket

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? — 0% YES
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%? — 11% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Fed rate hike in 2026?”?

As of September 16, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 94.1%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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