How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by End of 2026? 11.5%

Q: What are the current odds for "Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?"?

As of July 18, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 11.5%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	11.5%	88.5%	$100K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 27% YES
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 1% YES
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? — 7% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?”?

As of July 17, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 11.5%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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