This market has settled: RESOLVED
Settled on February 24, 2026
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Current odds for Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? on Polymarket — 11.5% YES. Live market data and analysis.
“Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?” is viewed as quite unlikely by traders, with strong odds favoring a NO outcome. Here’s a breakdown of the current odds across prediction market platforms, updated as of February 24, 2026.
Current Odds
| Platform | Yes | No | Volume | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 11.5% | 88.5% | $100K | Trade on Polymarket |
What the Odds Mean
At 12%, the market considers this outcome unlikely. Contrarian YES positions are cheap but high-risk. If you have a strong thesis that the market is wrong, these low-probability markets can offer outsized returns.
How to Trade This Market
On Polymarket, you trade using USDC on the Polygon blockchain. Polymarket offers deep liquidity and a wide range of markets on current events.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for “Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?”?
As of February 24, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 11.5%. This is based on real-money trading activity.
Where can I trade on this prediction market?
You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the market’s implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there’s a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won’t) and profit if you’re correct.