This market has settled: RESOLVED
Settled on February 24, 2026
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Current odds for US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? on Polymarket — 31.0% YES. Live market data and analysis.
“US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?” is considered unlikely by the market, with odds leaning toward NO. Here’s a breakdown of the current odds across prediction market platforms, updated as of February 24, 2026.
Current Odds
| Platform | Yes | No | Volume | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 31.0% | 69.0% | $98K | Trade on Polymarket |
What the Odds Mean
At 31%, the market considers this outcome unlikely. Contrarian YES positions are cheap but high-risk. If you have a strong thesis that the market is wrong, these low-probability markets can offer outsized returns.
How to Trade This Market
On Polymarket, you trade using USDC on the Polygon blockchain. Polymarket offers deep liquidity and a wide range of markets on current events.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for “US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?”?
As of February 24, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 31.0%. This is based on real-money trading activity.
Where can I trade on this prediction market?
You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the market’s implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there’s a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won’t) and profit if you’re correct.