How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? 17% — Unlikely

Q: What are the current odds for "Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?"?

As of July 15, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 17%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	17.0%	83.0%	$10K	Trade on Polymarket

Trump out as President before 2027? — 8% YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 27% YES
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? — 8% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?”?

As of July 15, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 17.0%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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