How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31? 4.5%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?"?

As of June 28, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 4.5%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	4.5%	95.5%	$10K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — 0% YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — 2% YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? — 1% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?”?

As of June 27, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 4.5%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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