How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? 86.5%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?"?

As of June 24, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 86.5%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	86.5%	13.5%	$98K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 1% YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — 2% YES
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — 0% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?”?

As of June 23, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 86.5%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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