How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? 0.4%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?

As of August 1, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 0.4%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	0.4%	99.6%	$998K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 0% YES
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? — 0% YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? — 2% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d’Or?”?

As of August 01, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 0.4%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

Learn More

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