How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by End of 2026? 7.4%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?"?

As of August 18, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 7.4%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	7.4%	92.6%	$10K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — 4% YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — 0% YES
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? — 2% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?”?

As of August 17, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 7.4%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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