How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? 48%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?"?

As of June 12, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 48%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	48.0%	52.0%	$10K	Trade on Polymarket

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? — 74% YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — 1% YES
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — 0% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?”?

As of June 11, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 48.0%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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