How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election? 81.5%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?"?

As of July 4, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 81.5%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	81.5%	18.5%	$10K	Trade on Polymarket

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — 2% YES
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? — 0% YES
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? — 2% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?”?

As of July 03, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 81.5%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

Learn More

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