How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 93%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?"?

As of May 14, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 93%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	93.0%	7.0%	$99K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — 1% YES
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers’ Champion? — 0% YES
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers’ Champion? — 0% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?”?

As of May 14, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 93.0%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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