How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? 0.5%

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	0.5%	99.5%	$978K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 28% YES
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 0% YES
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? — 0% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?”?

As of July 24, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 0.5%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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