How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? 95.5%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?"?

As of July 23, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 95.5%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	95.5%	4.5%	$999K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 28% YES
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 0% YES
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? — 0% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?”?

As of July 22, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 95.5%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

Learn More

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