How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? 27%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?"?

As of July 1, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 27%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	27.0%	73.0%	$100K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — 0% YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — 2% YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? — 18% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?”?

As of July 01, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 27.0%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

Learn More

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