How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 53.5%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?"?

As of August 1, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 53.5%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	53.5%	46.5%	$100K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 0% YES
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d’Or? — 0% YES
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? — 0% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?”?

As of July 31, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 53.5%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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