How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? 75.5%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?"?

As of July 1, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 75.5%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	75.5%	24.5%	$98K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — 0% YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — 1% YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? — 18% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?”?

As of June 30, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 75.5%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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