How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? 30%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?"?

As of August 8, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 30%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	30.0%	70.0%	$10K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 0% YES
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d’Or? — 0% YES
New pandemic in 2026? — 6% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?”?

As of August 07, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 30.0%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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