How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt? 2.9%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?"?

As of May 16, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 2.9%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	2.9%	97.1%	$10K	Trade on Polymarket

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? — 14% YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — 14% YES
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? — 8% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?”?

As of May 15, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 2.9%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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