How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? 8.3%

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	8.3%	91.6%	$100K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — 5% YES
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? — 2% YES
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — 0% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?”?

As of August 17, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 8.3%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

Learn More

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