Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

“Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?” is leaning likely according to market pricing, with a solid majority of traders betting YES. Here’s a breakdown of the current odds across prediction market platforms, updated as of February 24, 2026.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	74.5%	25.5%	$987K	Trade on Polymarket

What the Odds Mean

At 74%, the market sees this as more likely than not. This probability reflects the collective wisdom of traders who have put real money behind their views. The remaining uncertainty means there’s still meaningful upside for contrarian positions.

How to Trade This Market

On Polymarket, you trade using USDC on the Polygon blockchain. Polymarket offers deep liquidity and a wide range of markets on current events.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?”?

As of February 24, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 74.5%. This is based on real-money trading activity.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market’s implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there’s a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won’t) and profit if you’re correct.