How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? 4.3% — Very Unlikely

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	4.3%	95.7%	$10K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 28% YES
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 0% YES
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? — 0% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?”?

As of July 20, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 4.3%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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