How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Iran leadership change by Mid-2027? 39.5% — Unlikely

Q: What are the current odds for "Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?"?

As of July 25, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 39.5%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	39.5%	60.5%	$100K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 28% YES
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 0% YES
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? — 0% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?”?

As of July 24, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 39.5%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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