How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by Mid-2026? 2.6%

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	2.6%	97.4%	$975K	Trade on Polymarket

Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? — 60% YES
MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch? — 38% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?”?

As of April 17, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 2.6%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

Learn More

Key Dates

Market Expiry: July 1, 2026 (74 days from now)
Midpoint Check: May 24, 2026 — reassess position

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