Politics Prediction Market Odds
Live politics prediction market odds — elections, policy, and geopolitics. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
politics Active
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Polymarket
66% Yes $100K vol
politics Active
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Polymarket
0.5% Yes $100K vol
politics Active
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
Polymarket
12.5% Yes $99K vol
politics Active
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Polymarket
0.2% Yes $99K vol
politics Active
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Polymarket
15.5% Yes $99K vol
politics Active
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?
Polymarket
0.1% Yes $99K vol
politics Active
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?
Polymarket
0.1% Yes $99K vol
politics Active
Will Gracinha Caiado win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?
Polymarket
79.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?
Polymarket
43% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?
Polymarket
19.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?
Polymarket
56% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?
Polymarket
94.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
Polymarket
97.9% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Polymarket
86.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Liberty vs. James Madison: 4Q Moneyline
Polymarket
63.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
Polymarket
12.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Matthieu Letho Duclos (Middleweight, Prelims)
Polymarket
48.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
Polymarket
72.6% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
Polymarket
3.6% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will Marcelo Castro win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?
Polymarket
43.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Polymarket
75.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?
Polymarket
7.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Polymarket
36% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Polymarket
0.4% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?
Polymarket
84% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be at least $486,000 on September 30?
Polymarket
1.4% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will the Republican Party win the AR-03 House seat?
Polymarket
95% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will the Republican Party win the PA-13 House seat?
Polymarket
97.7% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat?
Polymarket
92.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket
10.5% Yes $10K vol
politics Active
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Polymarket
0.1% Yes $10K vol