How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? 27%

Q: What are the current odds for "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?"?

As of July 13, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 27%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	27.0%	73.0%	$987K	Trade on Polymarket

Trump out as President before 2027? — 6% YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 28% YES
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 1% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?”?

As of July 12, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 27.0%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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