This market has settled: RESOLVED
Settled on March 27, 2026
Will Brandon Ingram lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Will Brandon Ingram lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season? Odds: 0.1% YES on Polymarket. See live prices and trade this market.
Brandon Ingram’s chances of leading the NBA in scoring next season are virtually non-existent according to current market pricing, reflecting both his individual limitations and the league’s elite scoring hierarchy that shows little sign of shifting dramatically.
Current Odds
| Platform | Yes | No | Volume | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 0.1% | 100.0% | $100K | Trade on Polymarket |
Market Analysis
The bear case is overwhelming: Ingram has never averaged more than 24.3 points per game in his career and currently sits around 20-22 PPG for the 2024-25 season with New Orleans. The league’s scoring leaders typically need 30+ PPG, and players like Luka Doncic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and Jayson Tatum have demonstrated consistent ability at that threshold. Ingram’s role sharing offensive duties with Zion Williamson and CJ McCollum limits his volume, and even if traded before the February 6th deadline to a team where he’s the primary option, his efficiency metrics don’t suggest he can sustain elite scoring loads. His three-point shooting hovers around 35%, and he doesn’t generate free throws at the rate needed to compensate.
The bull case requires multiple unlikely dominoes: Ingram would need to be traded to a rebuilding team willing to feed him maximum touches, experience a dramatic shooting improvement, and see virtually every current elite scorer face serious injury or decline. If he lands with a team like Portland or San Antonio post-deadline where he’d command 25+ shots per game, and somehow improves his efficiency by several percentage points while the top-tier scorers miss significant time, there’s a microscopic path. The Pelicans’ next games against high-profile opponents could showcase trade value if he explodes for 35+ point performances.
Watch the February trade deadline closely—any deal sending Ingram to a situation with unlimited usage could shift these odds from 0.1% to perhaps 1-2%, though still far from viable. The 2025-26 season doesn’t begin until October 2025, so monitoring next season’s roster compositions, coaching changes, and whether current scoring leaders show any decline in the 2024-25 playoffs (April-June 2025) will be critical checkpoints. Ingram’s remaining 2024-25 performance, particularly any scoring explosions above 40 points, could influence perception heading into the offseason.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Has Brandon Ingram ever finished top 5 in NBA scoring for a season?
No, Ingram’s highest scoring finish was 16th in 2019-20 when he averaged 23.8 PPG. He’s never approached the 28-30+ PPG threshold typically needed for top-3 finishes.
What would need to happen with current scoring leaders for Ingram to have a realistic chance?
Multiple stars like Doncic, SGA, Giannis, and Tatum would need to miss 30+ games each or experience significant decline, while Ingram simultaneously increases his scoring by 8-10 PPG—an extremely rare combination.
Could a trade before the 2025-26 season dramatically improve Ingram’s scoring output?
A trade to a rebuilding team as the sole offensive option could boost him to 25-27 PPG, but reaching the 32-35 PPG range needed to lead the league would require unprecedented efficiency improvements given his current shooting profiles.