How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft? 45.5%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?"?

As of September 16, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 45.5%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	45.5%	54.5%	$10K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — 6% YES
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? — 4% YES
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? — 94% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will Lake Mead’s minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?”?

As of September 15, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 45.5%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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