How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.25T and 2.50T? 4.8%

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	4.8%	95.2%	$10K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day? — 2% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.25T and 2.50T?”?

As of April 17, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 4.8%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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