How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 12? 90.4%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 12?"?

As of July 6, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 90.4%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	90.4%	9.6%	$10K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? — 4% YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? — 2% YES
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? — 34% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 12?”?

As of July 06, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 90.4%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

Learn More

polymarket February 22, 2026 · 5 min read

How to Deposit on Polymarket: 3 Methods Compared

Card costs 3.5% in fees, exchange transfer is free, bridging is cheapest. Compare all 3 Polymarket deposit methods and avoid the fee traps.

polymarket February 22, 2026 · 5 min read

Polymarket Guide 2026: Start Trading in 10 Minutes

Zero fees, $2B+ in volume, and you can start with $20. Complete walkthrough of Polymarket — deposit, trade, and withdraw to your bank.

strategies February 24, 2026 · 5 min read

Will Bitcoin Hit $75K in 2026? Live Market Odds

Prediction markets put live odds on Bitcoin hitting $75K this year. See where the smart money is, what catalysts matter, and whether it's a good bet.