How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3? 2.3%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?"?

As of April 30, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 2.3%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	2.3%	97.7%	$10K	Trade on Polymarket

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? — 2% YES
Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? — 1% YES
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch? — 56% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?”?

As of April 29, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 2.3%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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