How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the market's implied probability of an event occurring. A YES price of 75% means traders collectively believe there's a 75% chance the event will happen. You can buy YES (betting it will happen) or NO (betting it won't) and profit if you're correct.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20? 97.7%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?"?

As of May 15, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 97.7%.

Current Odds

Platform	Yes	No	Volume	Trade
Polymarket	97.7%	2.4%	$10K	Trade on Polymarket

Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? — 77% YES
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? — 1% YES
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? — 31% YES

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for “Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?”?

As of May 14, 2026, Polymarket prices YES at 97.7%.

Where can I trade on this prediction market?

You can trade this market on Polymarket (crypto-based).

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